LPL Publications2019-03-25T10:56:35-05:00

Policy Risks Loom But Clarity Ahead – Weekly Market Commentary 9/13/21

Several policy-related risks loom in September and October that may lead to an increase in market volatility. The debt ceiling needs to be raised (likely by mid-October), the government needs to be funded to avoid a shutdown by the end of September, and the Democrats are trying to pass two major spending bills and will need to provide greater clarity on tax increases over the next several weeks. We believe the greatest risks come from the debt ceiling and taxes, but expect neither to have much near-term impact on the general trajectory of the bull market.  Read entire [...]

Poking The Bear – Weekly Market Commentary 8/30/21

First and foremost, this week’s commentary should not be construed to suggest that we are saying stocks will go up forever. We are also not saying that stocks are immune from a pullback in the final four months of 2021. Corrections are a normal part of investing and the S&P 500 Index has yet to pull back even 5% so far this year, something that happens on average three times per year. However, we remain steadfastly bullish and this week want to explore five things that some bears believe that do not worry us.  Read entire commentary here: https://rc.lpl.com/content/dam/rc/documents-new/Research/Publications/WMC/2021/WMC_Poking_the_Bear_08_30_21_Final.pdf

Why Stagflation Isn’t In The Cards – Weekly Market Commentary 8/23/21

The term stagflation has been circulating increasingly in the financial media as inflation readings have risen sharply in recent months. The term is often associated with the 1970s, which saw runaway inflation—largely driven by sky-high energy prices—and lackluster economic growth. Stagflation and a return to the weak equity markets of the 1970s would be understandably scary. However, when looking at the data, we remain skeptical that either runaway inflation or low growth are right around the corner, much less both at the same time.  Read entire commentary here: https://rc.lpl.com/content/dam/rc/documents-new/Research/Publications/WMC/2021/8.23.21_WMC_FINAL.pdf

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